Carolina Weather
Your local weather updated continuously every 10 minutes (24/7) from Clayton, NC (Flowers Community)
Location: Clayton, NC
Lat: 35° 37' 31" N   Long: 78° 19' 44" W
Updated every 10 minutes (24/7)
Southeast radar
Current Conditions
21:38 on 3/3/15

Temperature
38.5° F

Barometric Pressure
1010.332 in. (Falling)
Carolina Weather - Current Conditions
ASTRONOMICAL DATA
Sunrise
6:39
Sunset
18:08
Moonrise
16:34
Moonset
5:17
Moon Day:   13
Moon Phase
Moon Day: 13

5 Day Forecast
Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Clear Clear Clear Clear Clear
Chance Rain Rain Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
75°F 59°F 38°F 52°F 56°F
34°F 25°F 24°F 32°F 36°F
Increasing clouds and warmer. Precip possible within 12 to 24 hrs Windy
NOAA image KRAX (Raleigh-Durham current local radar)
Current Local Radar
Raleigh-Durham
KRAX

350 
FXUS62 KRAH 040054
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
753 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD AIR DAMMING WILL 
REMAIN UNTIL A WARM FRONT RETREATS NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL NC ON 
WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE 
NORTHWEST...THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE WED NIGHT THROUGH EARLY 
THU.   

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... 
AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...

PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH SURGE OF WAA 
ALOFT...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE 
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AFTER 03Z...MODELS INDICATE THE LOW TO 
MID-LEVEL WAA WILL WANE...WITH NOTED LOSS IN SATURATION ABOVE 850MB 
AFTER 06Z...WHICH WILL LEAD TO DRIZZLE AND THE ENHANCED POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG OVERNIGHT.

CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WRT TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT...AND THE 
WESTERN/INLAND EXTENT OF CAD EROSION  VIA SFC WARM FRONT LIFTING 
NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL NC. GIVEN THE LACK OF A WELL DEFINED UPSTREAM 
CYCLONE...ONE WOULD TYPICALLY BE SKEPTICAL OF SIGNIFICANT CAD 
EROSION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS DEPICTED BY THE GFS WHICH 
BLOWS AWAY THE DAMMING REGIME EVEN INTO THE HEART OF THE WEDGE 
ACROSS THE NW PIEDMONT. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE POTENTIAL LACK OF 
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP TO HELP LOCK IN THE WEDGE...THE GFS SCENARIO 
REMAINS PLAUSIBLE. IN CONTRAST...THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM...WHICH 
TYPICALLY HANDLES CAD EVOLUTION BETTER ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...KEEPS 
THE WEDGE IN PLACE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT WITH TEMPS NEARLY STEADY AND 
GRADUALLY/MARGINALLY INCREASE BY SUNRISE...PARTICULARLY NORTH OF HWY 
64. WILL ERR TOWARDS THE COOLER GUIDANCE AND CAD CLIMATOLOGY...BUT 
THERE REMAINS HIGH BUST POTENTIAL THAT TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT ACROSS 
THE EASTERN PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN COULD BE SEVERAL 
DEGREES WARMER.  

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...

WEDNESDAY: 

INSOLATION FROM THE HIGHER SOLAR SUN ANGLE AND BL MIXING VIA STRONG 
40-45KT H8 SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL SCOUR OUT ANY LINGERING SHALLOW WEDGE 
AIRMASS WITH CENTRAL NC FIRMLY IN THE WARM SECTOR...SOUTH OF THE 
COLD FRONT SETTLING INTO THE TN VALLEY. GUIDANCE 
OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WILL BECOME SCT/BKN BY AFTERNOON...WITH BREEZY 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING AS THE BL WARMS AND DEEPENS. 
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20KTS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30-35KTS ARE 
EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE UPPER 60S NW TO MID 70S 
ACROSS THE SOUTH. ONCE THE WEDGE MIXES OUT...FORCING LOOKS LARGELY 
ABSENT UNTIL THE ARRIVAL OF THE BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA 
BETWEEN 06 TO 12Z WITH VERY LITTLE DESTABILIZATION INDICATED...SO 
EXPECT MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE AREA 
IN BACK-DOOR FASHION DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. AS A WAVE DEVELOPS 
ALONG THE FRONT...ANA-FRONTAL PRECIP WILL SPREAD SOUTH INTO THE 
AREA. THERE IS STILL SOME MINOR TIMING ISSUES WITH THE TIMING OF THE 
FRONT AND PRECIP INTO THE NORTHERN AREAS...WITH THE NAM BEING A BIT 
SLOWER THAN THE GFS AND EC...BUT EXPECT CATEGORICAL POPS BY DAYBREAK 
FROM HIGHWAY 64 NORTH...MAKING FOR A MESSY MORNING COMMUTE FOR THE 
TRIAD AND TRIANGLE. EXPECT QUITE A SHARP NORTH-SOUTH CONTRAST IN 
TEMPERATURES...RANGING FROM LOWER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 

&& 

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... 
AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT: BY 12Z ON THURSDAY...PRECIPIATION 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL HAVE WORKED INTO 
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA. AT THIS TIME ALL MODELS ARE HINTING AT 
THE FORMATION OF A SMALL MESO-LOW FORMING OVER UPSTATE SOUTH 
CAROLINA. THIS COULD ACT TO TEMPORARILY INCREASE PRECIPITATION OVER 
CENTRAL NC DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS AS FLOW BECOMES MORE 
SOUTHEASTERLY AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES. THIS FEATURE WILL 
QUICKLY ADVECT AWAY BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN COLD FRONT HOWEVER 
WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA WITH A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTATION 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REALLY LAGS BACK OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS 
ON THURSDAY AND THE REAL DRIVING FORCE PUSHING IT THROUGH WILL BE A 
SURFACE HIGH BACK ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE EXTREMELY WARM 
TEMPERATURES FROM WEDNESDAY WILL QUICKLY COME CRASHING BACK TO 
REALITY AS TEMPERATURES DROP THROUGH THE DAY IN THE NORTH AND ONLY 
RISE BRIEFLY IN THE SOUTH BEFORE THE FRONT PASSES AND TEMPERATURES 
EVENTUALLY DROP BACK BELOW FREEZING THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE COLD AIRMASS WILL BE CHASING THE PRECIPITATION AND AT LEAST IN 
SECTION NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64 THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR A WINTRY MIX 
OF PRECIPITATION AT THE END OF THE EVENT THURSDAY NIGHT. PRIMARY 
TIMING WOULD BE BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z WITH SLEET THE MOST LIKELY 
FROZEN PRECIPITATION TYPE. NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES MAY ALSO SEE A 
BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AT THE INITIAL TRANSITION AROUND 00Z 
BUT THEN ALSO CHANGING OVER TO SLEET. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT 
THIS WITH A VERY WARM NOSE INITIALLY AS TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE 
DROP BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE. THIS WARM NOSE WILL ERODE RATHER 
QUICKLY AND JUST BELOW THAT AN EQUALLY STRONG COLD NOSE 
DEVELOPS...SUGGESTING THAT ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION WILL REFREEZE 
PRIOR TO HITTING THE SURFACE. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT MOST SREF 
MEMBERS POINTING TO THE VAST MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION ENDING PRIOR 
TO THE CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING P-TYPES. AS A RESULT NO ICE 
ACCUMULATION AND VERY LITTLE SLEET ACCUMULATION IS 
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY WHEN FACTORING IN VERY WARM GROUND 
TEMPERATURES FROM WEDNESDAY. MOST PRECIPITATION SHOULD WORK ITS WAY 
OUT OF THE AREA AROUND OR JUST AFTER 6Z.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT: THE WEEKEND WILL FEATURE DRIER WEATHER 
WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE LOOMING JUST TO OUR SOUTH. A TRANSITORY 
SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN INITIALLY FOSTERING 
COLD TEMPERATURES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE HIGH AND THEN 
MODERATING NICELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S/LOW 40S ON FRIDAY RISING TO MID TO UPPER 50S BY THE END OF THE 
WEEKEND. LOWS SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING FRIDAY TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE ON 
SUNDAY NIGHT.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: SOLUTIONS DIVERGE EARLY NEXT WEEK IN REGARDS 
TO THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
COMING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT COULD AFFECT OUR AREA EARLY 
NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES LOOK WARM ENOUGH THAT ANY PRECIPITATION 
SHOULD BE LIQUID. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. LOWS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 30S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... 
AS OF 750 PM TUESDAY...

ALREADY LIFR CONDITIONS WITH RESPECT TO CEILINGS WILL WORSEN AS 
CEILINGS LOWER FURTHER...AND VISIBILITIES LIKEWISE TREND DOWN. IN 
FACT...AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT OR EARLY 
WED...AS WARM AND MOIST AIR IS FORCED ATOP A COLD...SATURATED...AND 
VERY STABLE LAYER OF AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. CONDITIONS WILL 
TRANSITION UP BRIEFLY THROUGH IFR-MVFR RANGE...BEFORE LIKELY 
SCATTERING OUT TO VFR ALTOGETHER...AS THE WARM FRONT AT THE SURFACE 
FINALLY MAKES INROADS ACROSS CENTRAL NC DURING THE MIDDAY-EARLY 
AFTERNOON HOURS AT EASTERN TAF SITES...TO MID-LATE AFTERNOON (IF AT 
ALL) AT KINT/KGSO...BEFORE A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED TRAILING AREA 
OF RAIN AND SUB-VFR CONDITIONS ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHWEST WED 
NIGHT...AND PERSISTS THROUGH THU. A BRIEF MIX OF SLEET AND/OR 
FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS LATE THU OR 
THU EVENING AT KRWI AND KRDU. 

OUTLOOK: VFR

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... 
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...RAH
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...ELLIS 
AVIATION...RAH

UV Index
0.0
Solar Radiation
0
UVI EXPOSURE LEVEL
0-2 Minimal
3-4 Low
5-6 Moderate
7-9 High
10+ Very High
Weather Almanac
Station: Raleigh (KRDU)
Normal High: 59°F Normal Low: 37°F
Record High: 87°F in 1976 Record Low: 12°F in 1980
Today's High: 43.8°F Today's Low: 37.8°F
Normal YTD Rain (KRDU): 6.93 in. Normal MTD Rain (KRDU): 0.67 in.
Actual YTD Rain: 9.50 in. Actual MTD Rain: 0.58 in.