Carolina Weather
Your local weather updated continuously every 10 minutes (24/7) from Clayton, NC (Flowers Community)
Location: Clayton, NC
Lat: 35° 37' 31" N   Long: 78° 19' 44" W
Updated every 10 minutes (24/7)
Southeast radar
Current Conditions
12:53 on 11/27/14

Temperature
44.1° F

Barometric Pressure
1007.043 in. (Rising)
Carolina Weather - Current Conditions
ASTRONOMICAL DATA
Sunrise
7:01
Sunset
17:01
Moonrise
11:19
Moonset
22:34
Moon Day:   6
Moon Phase
Moon Day: 6

5 Day Forecast
Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Clear Clear Clear Clear Clear
Partly Cloudy Clear Partly Cloudy Clear Partly Cloudy
52°F 43°F 52°F 63°F 64°F
27°F 25°F 37°F 46°F 43°F
Increasing clouds with little temperature change. Precip possible within 24 to 48 hrs
NOAA image KRAX (Raleigh-Durham current local radar)

Current Local Radar
Raleigh-Durham
KRAX

888 
FXUS62 KRAH 271608
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1105 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS 
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST 
LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... THEN SETTLE OVER THE CAROLINAS ON 
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... BEFORE PUSHING EAST OFF THE COAST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1105 AM THURSDAY...

HAPPY THANKSGIVING! 

FORECAST REQUIRED LITTLE CHANGE THIS MORNING. THE LEADING SHORTWAVE 
TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS NOW WOBBLING ACROSS NORTH 
CENTRAL NC... GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE NRN CWA. FAST 
ON ITS HEELS IS THE SECOND WEAKER WAVE GENERATING SNOW SHOWERS ON 
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... HOWEVER MUCH OF THIS 
APPEARS TO BE DRYING UP AS THE PRECIP HEADS JUST EAST OF THE 
MOUNTAINS WHERE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS A NOTABLE DOWNSLOPE 
COMPONENT. NEVERTHELESS... BOTH ON THE TAIL END OF THE LEADING WAVE 
AND WITH THE SECOND WAVE AS IT SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE STATE... WILL 
NEED TO MONITOR FOR A FEW POCKETS OF MIXED RAIN AND WET SNOW OVER 
THE EXTREME NNW CWA. IN FACT... KRAX DUAL POL PRODUCTS INDICATE THE 
MELTING LEVEL AT AROUND 2200 FT... A BIT LOWER THAN RAP FORECAST 
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST... SO WE COULD DEFINITELY SEE SOME WET FLAKES 
WHERE PRECIP RATES ARE HIGHER. TEMPS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S TO 
LOWER 40S NORTH TO THE UPPER 40S/NEAR 50 SOUTH... AND THE NORTHERN 
HALF IS UNLIKELY TO SEE MUCH MORE THAN A ONE TO PERHAPS TWO CATEGORY 
CLIMB FOR THE REST OF THE DAY... AND EVEN THEN ONLY IF WE CAN GET 
ENOUGH SUNSHINE. THESE CHANCES DON'T LOOK TOO GOOD GIVEN THE 
PERSISTENT MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS NOTED ON UPPER AIR ANALYSES. 
WILL ADJUST NORTHERN HIGHS DOWN JUST A TAD... TO RANGE FROM MID 40S 
NORTH (AND AGAIN THIS MAY BE OPTIMISTIC) UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES 
TO MID 50S SOUTH (WHICH COULD BE PESSIMISTIC GIVEN THE FAIR SKIES 
THERE). -GIH

TONIGHT...SKIES WILL CLEAR OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY WEST-TO EAST LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON EARLY EVENING AS DRIER AIR OVERSPREADS THE REGION. COLD 
AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP THE NEAR SURFACE ATMOSPHERE WELL MIXED UNTIL 
JUST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK. THE CAA WILL SEND TEMPS INTO THE MID-UPPER 
20S BY EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/... 
AS OF 305 AM THURSDAY...

FRIDAY...CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO AND SETTLES OVERHEAD. 
LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES AVERAGE 45M BELOW NORMAL...SUGGESTIVE OF MAX 
TEMPS 10-14 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THIS YIELDS MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW-
MID 40S. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR ASIDE FROM A FEW PASSING
CIRRUS IN THE AFTERNOON. -WSS

FRIDAY NIGHT: SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION ON 
FRIDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE... MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WNW 
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES TO MOVE ACROSS THE 
MID ATLANTIC REGION. HOWEVER... WE WILL REMAIN DRY WITH ONLY AN 
INCREASE IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS ON SATURDAY MORNING. STILL THINK THE 
CLOUDS WILL BE THIN ENOUGH NOT TO HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON LOW 
TEMPS. GIVEN THIS... THINK WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS PLUMMET INTO THE 20S 
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA... WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S (MAYBE 
EVEN A FEW LOWER 20S IN THE USUAL RURAL COLD SPOTS DEPENDING ON THE 
CLOUD COVER). -BSD

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 
AS OF 310 AM THURSDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF CENTRAL NC THIS 
WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR A WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S FOR SATURDAY AND LOWER TO MID 60S FOR 
SUNDAY. MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO BUILD NORTHWARD DURING THIS 
TIME FRAME AND NUDGE INTO OUR AREA. HOWEVER... AS A NORTHERN STEAM 
TROUGH IS FORECAST TO TRACK NEAR THE U.S./CANADIAN (EAST COAST THAT 
IS) BORDER DURING THIS TIME FRAME A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL DROP 
SOUTHWARD AND INTO CENTRAL NC EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS 
TRENDED TOWARDS THE SURFACE FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY 
NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... PUSHED BY A 1035-1040 MB SURFACE 
HIGH TO THE NORTH/NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR ONE LAST WARM DAY 
ON MONDAY... WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S SOUTH.

GIVEN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE TRENDED WETTER 
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SOME 
HYBRID COLD AIR DAMMING FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER... 
WPC STILL PREFERS TO KEEP POPS LOW WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT 
GIVEN THE APPARENT SPREAD IN GUIDANCE/ENSEMBLES GUIDANCE OVER THE PAST 
FEW DAYS AND DIFFERENCES WITH THE OPERATIONAL MODELS VS THEIR 
ENSEMBLES. THUS... FOR NOW PREFER TO KEEP POPS AT SLIGHT CHANCE FOR 
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND TREND TEMPS DOWNWARD. FOR WEDNESDAY... 
WE MAY HAVE SOME FORM OF LINGERING CAD ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER... 
THE PARENT SURFACE HIGH SHOULD BE WELL OFF THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST 
BY THIS TIME. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY APPROACH FROM THE 
NORTHWEST. HOWEVER... THERE IS A LARGE SPREAD AMONG THE GUIDANCE IN 
TIMING OF THE FRONT. WPC HOLDS THE FRONT TO OUR NORTH DURING THIS 
TIME FRAME... GOING WITH A LESS AMPLIFIED PATTERN. GIVEN THE LOWER 
CONFIDENCE WILL KEEP TEMPS WITHIN A COUPLE CATEGORIES OF NORMAL AT 
WORST... GIVEN THE LARGE POSSIBLE SPREAD IN TEMPS. THIS YIELDS HIGHS 
ON TUESDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO 50S... WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY IN THE 
50S TO SOME 60S... AND LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 635 AM THURSDAY...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSING CENTRAL NC EARLY THIS 
MORNING WILL EXIT OUR REGION BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM IS 
TRIGGERING PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND 
NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN ALONG WITH VARYING CEILINGS...RESULTING IN 
POCKETS OF LIFR CONDITIONS.  CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT AND 
DISSIPATE FROM THE SW LATER THIS MORNING...LEADING TO IMPROVING 
AVIATION CONDITIONS.

AFTER 14Z...WEST TO NW SFC WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY WITH GUSTS 18-23 
KTS LIKELY. THE GUSTS WILL BECOME LESS LIKELY AFTER 22Z...THOUGH A 
STEADY NW WIND AROUND 10KTS EXPECTED WELL INTO TONIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO CENTRAL NC TONIGHT AND SETTLE OVERHEAD 
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...PROVIDING A PERIOD OF VFR CONDITIONS WITH 
SFC WINDS LESS THAN 10KTS.

THE HIGH WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE SUNDAY. THE RESULTING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ADVECT MOISTURE INTO OUR REGION BY LATE SUNDAY-
SUNDAY NIGHT LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF MVFR FOG OR IFR 
CEILINGS IN STRATUS BY EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD 
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD/WSS 
SHORT TERM...WSS/BSD 
LONG TERM...BSD 
AVIATION...WSS

UV Index
0.5
Solar Radiation
81
UVI EXPOSURE LEVEL
0-2 Minimal
3-4 Low
5-6 Moderate
7-9 High
10+ Very High
Weather Almanac
Station: Raleigh (KRDU)
Normal High: 56°F Normal Low: 36°F
Record High: 74°F in 1966 Record Low: 15°F in 1950
Today's High: 47.7°F Today's Low: 36.7°F
Normal YTD Rain (KRDU): 33.99 in. Normal MTD Rain (KRDU): 3.17 in.
Actual YTD Rain: 50.62 in. Actual MTD Rain: 3.23 in.
Revised: November 27 2014 12:55:17.