Increasing clouds and warmer. Precip possible within 12 to 24 hrs Windy

Astronomical Data

Sunrise: 6:04
Sunset: 20:33
Moonrise: 23:51
Moonset: 11:04
Moon Day: 20

Current Conditions

14:00 on 7/6/15
Temperature: 88.3° F
Pressure: 1008.587 in. (Falling)


Across the yard

 

A look North
UVI EXPOSURE LEVEL
0-2 Minimal
3-4 Low
5-6 Moderate
7-9 High
10+ Very High
Weather Almanac
Station: Raleigh (KRDU)
Normal High: 0°F Normal Low: 0°F
Record High: 0°F in 0 Record Low: 0°F in 0
Today's High: 88.3°F Today's Low: 71.1°F
Normal YTD Rain (KRDU): 0.00 in. Normal MTD Rain (KRDU): 0.00 in.
Actual YTD Rain: 22.92 in. Actual MTD Rain: 0.52 in.
5 Day Forecast
Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Clear Clear Clear Clear Clear
Chance T-storms Chance T-storms Chance T-storms Chance T-storms Chance T-storms
92°F 93°F 93°F 94°F 94°F
72°F 72°F 73°F 73°F 73°F
temperature color key

NOAA Weather

Weather Summary


314 
FXUS62 KRAH 061753
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 
150 PM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK FRONT NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER WILL LIFT NORTH 
TODAY AS AN UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER WEST 
VIRGINIA LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE 
SOUTHEAST STATES AND CAROLINAS BEGINNING TONIGHT WILL BRING A TREND 
TO WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND END OF THE WORK 
WEEK. 
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 
AS OF 1120 AM MONDAY...

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL VORTEX CENTERED IN 
SOUTHWEST VA LIFTING NORTHEAST. MORNING STRATUS ACROSS CENTRAL NC 
HAS DISSIPATED AND THE INITIATION OF CUMULIFORM CLOUDINESS IS 
UNDERWAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT AND TRIAD 
AREA ARE IN RESPONSE TO DPVA AND ARE LIFTING AWAY FROM THE TRIAD. 
SCT CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS BOUNDARY LAYER 
DESTABILIZATION INCREASES AND LOCALIZED FORCING FOR ASCENT IS DRIVEN 
BY SPOKES OF VORTICITY EMANATING FROM THE UPPER LOW AND IN 
SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST CONVERGENCE ZONES RESULTING FROM DIFFERENTIAL 
HEATING FROM MORNING STRATUS IN THE EASTERN PIEDMONT AND WITH 
CONVERGENCE ALONG A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IN THE WESTERN PIEDMONT. THE 
CONVECTION WILL HAVE A STORM MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE LARGER 
CONVECTIVE LINES GRADUALLY SHIFTING EAST. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS IN 
THE 86 TO 92 RANGE LOOK GREAT. 

CONVECTION THIS EVENING SHOULD LARGELY DIMINISH WITH SUNSET BUT GIVEN 
THE PROXIMITY OF THE THE UPPER TROUGH...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE 
A FEW STORMS LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT. BUT A GENERAL DRYING OF THE 
ATMOSPHERE SHOULD LIMIT COVERAGE OVERNIGHT AND BRING CONVECTIVE 
ACTIVITY TO AN END LATE. LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 
70S. BLAES

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/... 
AS OF 330 AM MONDAY...

AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE MAINLY ISOLATED TUESDAY AS 
THE UPPER LOW SHEARS TO OUR NORTH AND JUST A WEAK PIEDMONT TROUGH 
REMAINS AMIDST RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY.  MODELS DO SHOW A VERY 
SHALLOW UPPER SHEAR LEVEL SHEAR AXIS...ABOVE 500 MB...DRIFTING 
OVERHEAD...BUT INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LOW FOR THIS FEATURE TO 
TRIGGER MUCH CONVECTION.  THUS...WILL MAINTAIN JUST SLIGHT CHANCE 
POPS...WITH HIGHS COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY IN THE LOWER 
90S.  LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE 69-73 RANGE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 150 PM MONDAY...

GRADUAL WESTWARD REGRESSION OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGING WILL LIFT THE 
WESTERLIES AND PERSISTENT FRONTAL ZONE NORTH OF THE AREA IN THE 
MIDWEEK. THE FRONTAL ZONE MAKES A SOUTHERLY JOG ON FRIDAY AS THE 
RIDGE BEGINS TO AMPLIFY INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ENSUING 
NORTHWEST FLOW AND A GRADUAL UPTICK IN HEIGHTS OVER THE EAST COAST 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THE RIDING WILL LIMIT CONVECTION THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHT 
CHANCES...PRIMARILY DIURNALLY DRIVEN...ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER DUE 
TO PROXIMITY WITH THE ACTIVE WESTERLIES ZONE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. 
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM 90 ACROSS THE NORTH TO 95 IN THE SOUTH AFTER 
MORNING LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.

OVER THE WEEKEND...DEEP NORTHWEST STEERING FLOW WILL INCREASE THE 
CHANCE THAT UPSTREAM MESOSCALE DISTURBANCES WANDER IN TO INITIATE 
CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA. WILL THUS MAINTAIN CHANCE (30-40) 
POPS...SHADED TOWARDS MAX HEATING EACH DAY...ON SATURDAY THROUGH 
MONDAY. HIGHS WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER...MOSTLY IN THE MID 
90S...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME UPPER 90S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.


&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... 
AS OF 650 AM MONDAY...

A COUPLE AREAS OF IFR STRATUS...ONE OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT AND 
IMPACTING KGSO/KINT...AND THE OTHER OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN IMPACTING 
KRWI...WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BY 12-13Z AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
BY 15Z.  A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CEILIGS IS STILL POSSIBLE AT KRDU AND 
KFAY.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY 
AFTERNOON AND LAST THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS THEY MOVE OFF TO THE 
NORTHEAST.  WHILE A THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE AT EASTERN 
TERMINALS...CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO PIN DOWN A SMALL TIME 
FRAME...SO VCSH WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE CURRENT TAF.  ALL ACTIVITY 
IS EXPECTED TO END BY 00-03Z AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST US THIS 
WEEK...WHICH WILL LIMIT AFTERNOON STORMS TO MAINLY ISOLATED 
COVERAGE.  VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINATE THIS WEEK.

&&
 
..RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD/22
NEAR TERM...BLAES
SHORT TERM...22 
LONG TERM...MLM
AVIATION..22

KRAX (Raleigh-Durham, NC current local radar)

National Weather Service Enhanced Radar Mosaic Southeast Sector

NWS Forecast Office, Raleigh, NC

NWS Forecast Office, Raleigh, NC Weather.gov > Raleigh/Durham, NC