Carolina Weather
Your local weather updated continuously every 10 minutes (24/7) from Clayton, NC (Flowers Community)
Location: Clayton, NC
Lat: 35° 37' 31" N   Long: 78° 19' 44" W
Updated every 10 minutes (24/7)
Southeast radar
Current Conditions
11:05 on 1/28/15

Temperature
40.9° F

Barometric Pressure
1014.426 in. (Rising)
Carolina Weather - Current Conditions
ASTRONOMICAL DATA
Sunrise
7:14
Sunset
17:35
Moonrise
12:39
Moonset
1:47
Moon Day:   9
Moon Phase
Moon Day: 9

5 Day Forecast
Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Clear Clear Clear Clear Clear
Clear Partly Cloudy Clear Clear Partly Cloudy
43°F 50°F 50°F 46°F 52°F
21°F 39°F 23°F 27°F 43°F
Mostly clear with little temperature change
NOAA image KRAX (Raleigh-Durham current local radar)
Current Local Radar
Raleigh-Durham
KRAX

965 
FXUS62 KRAH 281440
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 
935 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY 
THURSDAY... BEFORE PUSHING TO OUR SOUTH. A CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA LATE 
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK IN 
FROM THE WEST FRIDAY. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 
AS OF 935 AM WEDNESDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE 
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE RIDING ALOFT SHIFTS OVER 
THE MIDWEST.  AFTER A COLD START THIS MORNING...LOWS DEEP INTO THE 
20S...AN AVERAGE DIURNAL RECOVERY UNDER CLEAR SKIES WILL PUT 
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 40S...IN LINE WITH STATISTICAL GUIDANCE. -BLS

WINDS WILL CALM LATER ON TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING BUT UPPER 
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ENCROACH ON NORTHERN AREAS OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH...HAMPERING OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL 
COOLING. THICKNESS VALUES ALSO WILL BE HIGHER IN THE WEST THAN IN 
THE EAST...THEREFORE BETWEEN THE CLOUDS AND THE THICKNESS 
VALUES..EXPECT THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT IN OUR SOUTHERN AND 
EASTERN RURAL AREAS. LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/... 
AS OF 245 AM WEDNESDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL ON THURSDAY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY 
AS IT MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NC AND EVENTUALLY OUT INTO THE WESTERN 
ATLANTIC. THIS WILL PUT CENTRAL NC ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE HIGH IN 
THE SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WHICH WILL HELP TEMPERATURES RECOVER BUT 
ONLY LIMITED AS HIGH AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA 
DURING PEAK HEATING AND LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF INSOLATION. THEREFORE WE 
WILL HAVE TO SETTLE FOR UPPER 40S NORTH TO LOWER 50S SOUTH. BY 
THURSDAY EVENING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE 
GREAT LAKES WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING DOWN THE APPALACHIANS. IN 
OUR AREA...MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED AND THEREFORE PRECIPITATION 
IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AT THE MOMENT. PRECIPITABLE WATER 
VALUES ONLY RISE TO A HALF OF AN INCH OF WATER AND ALL MODELS HINT 
AT PRECIPITATION FIZZLING OUT OVER CENTRAL NC AND THEN PICKING UP 
AGAIN OFFSHORE. FORCING WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 
LEVELS WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 120 KT 500 MB JET STREAM 
MOVING ACROSS THE CWA FROM WEST TO EAST CREATING A 500 MB VORT MAX 
THAT WILL PROVIDE SUBSTANTIAL UPPER LEVEL LIFT FOR A PERIOD OF TIME 
BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z FRIDAY MORNING BUT WHETHER OR NOT ENOUGH 
MOISTURE REMAINS TO PRODUCE SHOWERS THAT ARE ABLE TO OVERCOME LOW 
LEVEL DRY AIR REMAINS TO BE SEEN. WILL CARRY A SLIGHT CHANCE THROUGH 
THAT 0-6Z TIMEFRAME BUT OTHERWISE WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. LOWS 
THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE LOW 30S NW TO UPPER 30S SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... 
AS OF 225 AM WEDNESDAY...

FRI-SAT NIGHT: DRY AND COOL. LATEST MODEL RUNS UNANIMOUSLY SHOW THE 
SURFACE FRONT OFF THE NC COAST FRI MORNING WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION 
COMMENCING... AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE INITIALLY CENTERED OVER THE 
UPPER MIDWEST PUSHES EASTWARD WHILE BUILDING SOUTH INTO NC. GOOD 
MIXING AND A TIGHT MSLP GRADIENT WILL BRING BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS 
SUSTAINED UP TO 15-20 MPH... AND MOMENTUM TRANSFER SUPPORTS GUSTS TO 
25-30 MPH FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... ABATING SLOWLY 
IN THE EVENING WITH THE GRADUAL LOSS OF MIXING. FALLING THICKNESSES 
FRI INDICATE HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50 DESPITE PLENTY OF 
SUNSHINE. WINDS FALL OFF FRI NIGHT BUT DON'T GO COMPLETELY CALM... 
YET THE CHILLY AIR MASS BUILDING IN WITH CLEAR SKIES AND OTHERWISE 
DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING STILL FAVORS LOWS IN THE LOW-MID 20S... 
AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW TEENS IN OUTLYING AREAS. 
SUNSHINE CONTINUES SAT AS THE HIGH RIDGES SOUTHWARD INTO NC. HIGHS 
STILL BELOW NORMAL... 44-48. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS OVER 
AND JUST EAST OF THE CAROLINAS SAT NIGHT AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES 
SSE AND OFFSHORE... AND WE SHOULD SEE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS LATE AS 
WSW MID LEVEL FLOW STARTS DRAWING IN WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM VORTICITY 
FROM THE BAJA LOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30.

SUN-TUE: CONFIDENCE INCREASING THAT WE'LL SEE A GOOD SHOT OF RAIN... 
LIKELY FOCUSED IN THE SUN NIGHT-MON TIME FRAME. THE ECWMF IS A BIT 
FASTER THAN THE GFS BY ABOUT 3-6 HRS... AND WILL GO WITH A 
COMPROMISE TIMING SOLUTION FOR NOW... BUT OTHERWISE THE TWO MODELS 
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON AMPLIFICATION AND PRECIP PLACEMENT. A 
POTENT NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKS THROUGH THE CENTRAL 
MISS VALLEY SUNDAY/SUN NIGHT AS ITS ASSOCIATED PRIMARY SURFACE LOW 
MOVES JUST AHEAD OF IT THROUGH THE OH VALLEY... ALL THE WHILE 
PULLING INCREASING SOUTHERN-STREAM MOISTURE FROM EAST OF THE NW-
MEXICO LOW... ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE TRAILING SURFACE COLD FRONT 
INTO THE GULF STATES AND MID SOUTH. THE ECMWF/GFS COMPROMISE TIMING 
SUPPORTS BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN INTO THE FAR WRN CWA LATE SUN... 
FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD RAIN SPREADING EASTWARD SUN EVENING THROUGH 
THE FIRST HALF OF MONDAY... AS THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH 
CROSSES THE OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE NORTHEAST/MID 
ATLANTIC REGION. HAVE SLOWED DOWN BOTH THE ARRIVAL AND EXIT OF 
PRECIP BY A FEW HOURS... AND HAVE RAISED POPS A BIT MORE AT THE 
EVENT'S PEAK BASED ON GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG THE MODELS AND THEIR 
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS... AND VERY HIGH VALUES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX 
AND VIGOROUS DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SOAR 
OVER CENTRAL NC SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF MON... 
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF A LINGERING COOL STABLE POOL 
OVER THE NW PIEDMONT. SO WE SHOULD SEE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS... MAINLY 
OVER THE SRN AND ERN CWA... DESPITE THE HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE 
GFS DEPICTS A COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG OF MUCAPE AHEAD OF THE FRONT... 
AND IF THIS WEAK INSTABILITY PERSISTS IN LATER RUNS... A RISK OF 
THUNDER MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. FRONTAL PASSAGE IS MOST LIKELY MON 
AFTERNOON... WITH PLUNGING THICKNESSES POST-FRONT AS ANOTHER 
CANADIAN SOURCE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE NW. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES 
MON EVENING WITH TEMPS RETURNING TO BELOW NORMAL VALUES MON NIGHT 
THROUGH TUE. -GIH

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... 
AS OF 640 AM WEDNESDAY...

24 HOUR TAF PERIOD: VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE OF VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 
THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL GO TO CALM 
LATER THIS EVENING. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TODAY WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS 
POSSIBLY CREEPING IN AT THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

LONG TERM: THE NEXT THREAT TO AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL BE THURSDAY 
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA AND 
THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE 
IN THE THURSDAY EVENT IS LOWER THAN NORMAL AND CONDITIONS COULD 
REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE EVENT. THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN THE 
SUNDAY EVENT BRINGING SOME ADVERSE AVIATION CONDITIONS.


&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE. 

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD 
NEAR TERM...ELLIS/BLS
SHORT TERM...ELLIS 
LONG TERM...HARTFIELD 
AVIATION...ELLIS

UV Index
1.1
Solar Radiation
536
UVI EXPOSURE LEVEL
0-2 Minimal
3-4 Low
5-6 Moderate
7-9 High
10+ Very High
Weather Almanac
Station: Raleigh (KRDU)
Normal High: 49°F Normal Low: 30°F
Record High: 78°F in 1944 Record Low: -2°F in 1940
Today's High: 41.2°F Today's Low: 25.4°F
Normal YTD Rain (KRDU): 2.04 in. Normal MTD Rain (KRDU): 2.04 in.
Actual YTD Rain: 5.39 in. Actual MTD Rain: 5.39 in.