Carolina Weather
Your local weather updated continuously every 10 minutes (24/7) from Clayton, NC (Flowers Community)
Location: Clayton, NC
Lat: 35° 37' 31" N   Long: 78° 19' 44" W
Updated every 10 minutes (24/7)
Southeast radar
Current Conditions
1:07 on 4/28/15

Temperature
46.0° F

Barometric Pressure
1002.714 in. (Falling)
Carolina Weather - Current Conditions
ASTRONOMICAL DATA
Sunrise
6:23
Sunset
19:56
Moonrise
15:10
Moonset
3:26
Moon Day:   9
Moon Phase
Moon Day: 9

5 Day Forecast
Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Clear Clear Clear Clear Clear
Clear Rain Rain Chance Rain Partly Cloudy
69°F 62°F 62°F 70°F 75°F
48°F 51°F 49°F 48°F 53°F
Increasing clouds with little temperature change
NOAA image KRAX (Raleigh-Durham current local radar)
Current Local Radar
Raleigh-Durham
KRAX

888 
FXUS62 KRAH 280218
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 
1017 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THROUGH 
TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP 
ALONG THE GULF COAST...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA AND 
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
 
&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... 
AS OF 1010 PM MONDAY...

A DEEP MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THIS 
EVENING CONTINUES TO PROVIDE THE AREA WITH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT... 
WITH EMBEDDED S/W DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO 
THE CAROLINAS. ONE SUCH POTENT S/W IS EXPECTED TO SINK SOUTHWARD AND 
INTO CENTRAL NC DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. 
HOWEVER... WITH THE COMBINATION OF WEAK LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION... 
POOR DIURNAL TIMING.... AND LACK OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE (PW'S ARE 
AROUND 0.4-0.5 INCHES... RESULTING IN PW'S OF AROUND 50% OF NORMAL) 
NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED... WITH EVEN VERY LITTLE LOW TO MID CLOUD 
COVER. IN FACT MOST OF THE CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT WILL BE FROM SOME 
HIGH CLOUD COVER STREAMING INTO THE AREA FROM CONVECTION NEAR THE 
GULF COAST. PLAN TO INCREASE THE CLOUDS IN THE GRIDS ACROSS SOUTHERN 
PORTIONS OF THE FA GIVEN THE CIRRUS. STILL THINK OVERNIGHT LOWS 
SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40 ACROSS THE NORTHERN 
RURAL LOCATIONS TO THE LOWER TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE... NEAR 
STATISTICAL GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... 
AS OF 230 PM MONDAY...

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT: DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DURING THE 
DAY TUE...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70F. A DRY SFC RIDGE 
EXTENDING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN 
TUE AFT/EVE INTO TUE NIGHT AS A POTENT SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE 
PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...WITH AN ATTENDANT 
SFC LOW DEEPENING ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE UPPER WAVE AND ATTENDANT 
SFC CYCLONE WILL BECOME CLOSE TO MATURE /VERTICALLY STACKED/ OVER 
PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH BY 12Z WED. EXPECT TOP-DOWN MOISTENING 
OVERNIGHT...I.E. ADVECTION OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE DOWNSTREAM OF 
THE MATURE CYCLONE INTO CENTRAL NC BY ~MIDNIGHT... FOLLOWED BY 
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR 
LIGHT RAIN IN THE SANDHILLS AND WEST/SW PIEDMONT BY SUNRISE WED. 
GIVEN A RAPID INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...EXPECT LOWS MARKEDLY WARMER 
THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS...IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER/MID 50S...COOLEST 
IN THE WEST/SW PIEDMONT WHERE PRECIP WILL DRIVE TEMPS DOWNWARD VIA 
EVAP COOLING JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE. -VINCENT

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT 
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE MID/UPPER LOW AS 
IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE 
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TOWARD OUR REGION BY MID WEEK. COOL DRY 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS INITIALLY FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE GREAT 
LAKES SOUTH INTO THE CAROLINAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH 
IS FORECAST TO BE FAIRLY WEEK (1020 MB OR SO)... BUT WILL DEPOSIT 
PLENTY OF DRY AIR OVER THE REGION BEFORE THE RAIN BEGINS WEDNESDAY 
TO LEAD TO EVAPORATIVE COOLING AND AT LEAST A HYBRID COLD AIR 
DAMMING RESUME WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AS IT APPEARS WITH THE 
RECENT MODELS RUNS... CONSENSUS IS FOR INCREASING CLOUDINESS TUESDAY 
NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. THEN RAIN LIKELY 
DEVELOPING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY. HIGHS WILL DEPEND 
ON THE RAIN ARRIVAL. EXPECT GENERALLY 50S WEST TO SOME LOWER 60S 
EAST. RAIN NOW APPEARS LIKELY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LOWS 50-
55 WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... 
AS OF 140 PM MONDAY...

...DAMP AND CHILLY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A MODERATION AND DRYING THIS 
WEEKEND...

MODELS ARE FINALLY IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT IN BRINGING A STORM 
SYSTEM UP ALONG THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY INTO 
FRIDAY. THIS IS A PATTERN THAT MORE RESEMBLES THE COLD SEASON THAN 
THE WARM SEASON AND ONE THAT WILL ONLY MODIFY SLOWLY INTO THE 
WEEKEND GIVEN THE COOL/RAINY CONDITIONS AND NE FLOW EXPECTED WITH 
THE COASTAL STORM. 

THE COASTAL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO START THE DAY NEAR THE SC/NC 
COAST AROUND 12Z/THURSDAY... THEN DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NE TO ALONG AND 
OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC TO NEW ENGLAND COAST BY 12Z/FRIDAY. THIS STORM 
TRACK FAVORS A COOL STABLE NE FLOW ACROSS OUR REGION WITH STRATIFORM 
RAIN AND IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS AS THE WARM SECTOR IS 
EXPECTED TO BE WELL SOUTH AND EAST (OFFSHORE). MODELS HAVE TRENDED A 
BIT WESTWARD WITH THE MID/UPPER LOW POSITION IN THE PAST FEW RUNS... 
AND THIS IN TURN ALLOWS A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OF THE COASTAL LOW 
ALLOWING FOR WIDESPREAD QPF ON THE ORDER OF 1-2 INCHES. 

SENSIBLE WEATHER SHOULD BE FOR THE STEADY AND HEAVIER RAIN TO FALL 
INTO A PART OF THURSDAY... THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AS THE COASTAL 
LOW PULLS UP THE COAST LEAVING BEHIND A CHILLY NE FLOW... AREAS OF 
LIGHT RAIN.... DRIZZLE... AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDINESS DURING THE 
DAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONLY REACH THE UPPER 50S AND 60S (MOST 
LIKELY A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW THE NORMAL). THEN DEPENDING ON THE 
MID/UPPER LOW TRACK GIVEN POTENTIAL INTERACTION WITH THE POLAR 
JET... EITHER SLOW CLEARING THURSDAY NIGHT AND BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY 
FRIDAY OR... IF THE TRACK IS OVERHEAD THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED 
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH COLD AIR 
ALOFT AND SURFACE HEATING FRIDAY. REGARDLESS... TEMPERATURES WILL 
REMAIN COOL. HIGHS FRIDAY GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REACH 65-70 WITH THE 
LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTH.

FINALLY... A MODERATING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE STORM DEPARTS AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST 
TO BUILD OVERNIGHT. LOWS SHOULD MODERATE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S SATURDAY INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S MONDAY. HIGHS SHOULD REACH 
CLOSE TO NORMAL LEVELS BY SUNDAY OR MONDAY (UPPER 70S TO LOWER 
80S). 

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... 
AS OF 715 PM MONDAY...

24-HOUR TAF PERIOD: HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL 
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS AROUND 7 KFT MAY 
LINGER FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...MAINLY IN THE NORTHEAST...BECOMING 
CLEAR ELSEWHERE. WIND GUSTS HAVE DISSIPATED AND EXPECT WINDS TO BE 
AROUND 5 KTS...POSSIBLY GOING CALM TO VERY LIGHT OVERNIGHT...AND 
BECOMING MORE NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS WILL START 
TO BUILD IN TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...BUT WILL LEAVE OUT 
FOR NOW.

LOOKING AHEAD: THE PASSAGE OF A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 
RESULT IN A GOOD CHANCE OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AND RAIN LATE TUE 
NIGHT THROUGH THU MORNING AT ALL TERMINALS...WITH THE LONGEST 
DURATION OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AT EASTERN (FAY/RWI) TERMINALS WHERE 
PRECIP WILL LINGER THE LONGEST. -VINCENT

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... 
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KRD
NEAR TERM...BSD
SHORT TERM...VINCENT/BADGETT
LONG TERM...BADGETT 
AVIATION...RAH/VINCENT

UV Index
0.0
Solar Radiation
0
UVI EXPOSURE LEVEL
0-2 Minimal
3-4 Low
5-6 Moderate
7-9 High
10+ Very High
Weather Almanac
Station: Raleigh (KRDU)
Normal High: 76°F Normal Low: 51°F
Record High: 90°F in 1957 Record Low: 32°F in 1976
Today's High: 48.0°F Today's Low: 45.8°F
Normal YTD Rain (KRDU): 13.81 in. Normal MTD Rain (KRDU): 4.27 in.
Actual YTD Rain: 16.48 in. Actual MTD Rain: 4.07 in.